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Market MapCaliforniaMadera

Madera County

CaliforniaPopulation: 157,243
56
/100
Hold
#440 of 1,000 counties
#8 in California (58 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated June 1, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$425,231
Median Home Price
82% above national median
$2,303/mo
Median Rent
53% above national median
6.50%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 35% nationally
-$732
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $2,303/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$318,923-$174/mo5.6%-2.9%
Median
typical MLS deal
$425,231-$732/mo4.2%-9.0%
125% of median
newer / premium
$531,539-$1,289/mo3.4%-12.7%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$425,231
Down Payment (20%)$85,046
Loan Amount$340,185
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$2,303
Monthly P&I-$2,229
Est. Expenses (35%)-$806
Net Cash Flow-$732/mo
4.2%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-9.0%
Cash-on-Cash Return
6.50%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 4.2% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
56/100
56
Cash Flow(30%)
65/100

Based on 6.50% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
66/100

Based on 1.6% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
39/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$732/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.2% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
  • -High price-to-income ratio makes financing challenging

Economic Indicators

Population
157,243
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
KingsCA
59$354,148$1,7575.95%HoldView
ImperialCA
57$367,307$1,6195.29%HoldView
CurrentMaderaCA
56$425,231$2,3036.50%Hold
TulareCA
55$353,817$1,7575.96%HoldView
FresnoCA
52$399,477$2,0346.11%HoldView
KernCA
52$357,338$1,7825.98%HoldView

The Bottom Line

HoldMadera is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Madera County in California scores 56/100, ranking #440 of 1,000 US counties (top 58%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $732/month; the 6.50% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-732/mo
Cap Rate
4.2%
Cash-on-Cash
-9.0%

Related markets

Markets like Madera with stronger cash flow

  • Fresno County for cash-flow rentals
  • Kern County for cash-flow rentals
  • Tulare County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Madera

  • Tulare County, lower entry price
  • Kings County, lower entry price
  • Kern County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Madera vs Tulare for rentals
  • Madera vs Imperial for rentals
  • Madera vs Kings for rentals
All counties in California →

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