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Market MapArizonaMaricopa

Maricopa County

ArizonaPopulation: 4,430,871Phoenix, AZ Metro
41
/100
Avoid
#0 of 0 counties
#10 in Arizona (15 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated May 18, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$463,173
Median Home Price
0% below national median
$1,733/mo
Median Rent
0% below national median
4.49%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 50% nationally
-$1,302
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,733/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$347,380-$695/mo3.9%-10.4%
Median
typical MLS deal
$463,173-$1,301/mo2.9%-14.7%
125% of median
newer / premium
$578,967-$1,909/mo2.3%-17.2%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$463,173
Down Payment (20%)$92,635
Loan Amount$370,538
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,733
Monthly P&I-$2,428
Est. Expenses (35%)-$607
Net Cash Flow-$1,302/mo
2.9%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-14.7%
Cash-on-Cash Return
4.49%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 2.9% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
41/100
41
Cash Flow(30%)
37/100

Based on 4.49% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
42/100

Based on -1.7% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
34/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Declining home values (-1.7% YoY)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$1,302/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 2.9% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
  • -High price-to-income ratio makes financing challenging

Economic Indicators

Population
4,430,871
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
  • −You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
PimaAZ
46$339,306$1,5105.34%HoldView
GreenleeAZ
44$156,689Est. pending—AvoidView
CurrentMaricopaAZ
41$463,173$1,7334.49%Avoid
CoconinoAZ
41$612,086$2,1244.16%AvoidView
ApacheAZ
39$311,973Est. pending—AvoidView
YavapaiAZ
39$496,666$1,8394.44%AvoidView

The Bottom Line

AvoidMaricopa may be challenging for traditional rentals. High prices or low rents make cash flow difficult.

Maricopa County in Arizona scores 41/100, ranking #0 of 0 US counties (top 50%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $1302/month; the 4.49% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,302/mo
Cap Rate
2.9%
Cash-on-Cash
-14.7%

Related markets

Markets like Maricopa with stronger cash flow

  • Pima County for cash-flow rentals
  • Yavapai County for cash-flow rentals
  • Coconino County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Maricopa

  • Greenlee County, lower entry price
  • Apache County, lower entry price
  • Pima County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Maricopa vs Coconino for rentals
  • Maricopa vs Apache for rentals
  • Maricopa vs Yavapai for rentals
All counties in Arizona →

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