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Market MapFloridaHillsborough

Hillsborough County

FloridaPopulation: 1,468,560Tampa, FL Metro
50
/100
Hold
#0 of 0 counties
#28 in Florida (67 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated May 18, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$377,787
Median Home Price
0% below national median
$1,999/mo
Median Rent
0% below national median
6.35%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 50% nationally
-$681
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,999/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$283,340-$186/mo5.5%-3.4%
Median
typical MLS deal
$377,787-$681/mo4.1%-9.4%
125% of median
newer / premium
$472,234-$1,177/mo3.3%-13.0%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$377,787
Down Payment (20%)$75,557
Loan Amount$302,230
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,999
Monthly P&I-$1,980
Est. Expenses (35%)-$700
Net Cash Flow-$681/mo
4.1%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-9.4%
Cash-on-Cash Return
6.35%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 4.1% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
50/100
50
Cash Flow(30%)
63/100

Based on 6.35% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
34/100

Based on -3.2% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
49/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Declining home values (-3.2% YoY)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$681/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.1% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
1,468,560
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
GilchristFL
51$296,315Est. pending—HoldView
Saint LucieFL
51$367,976$2,3027.51%HoldView
CurrentHillsboroughFL
50$377,787$1,9996.35%Hold
LakeFL
50$360,369$2,0166.71%HoldView
BayFL
50$337,276$1,7346.17%HoldView
HamiltonFL
49$195,992Est. pending—HoldView

The Bottom Line

HoldHillsborough is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Hillsborough County in Florida scores 50/100, ranking #0 of 0 US counties (top 50%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $681/month; the 6.35% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-681/mo
Cap Rate
4.1%
Cash-on-Cash
-9.4%

Related markets

Markets like Hillsborough with stronger cash flow

  • Saint Lucie County for cash-flow rentals
  • Lake County for cash-flow rentals
  • Bay County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Hillsborough

  • Hamilton County, lower entry price
  • Gilchrist County, lower entry price
  • Bay County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Hillsborough vs Lake for rentals
  • Hillsborough vs Bay for rentals
  • Hillsborough vs Gilchrist for rentals
All counties in Florida →

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