Anne Arundel County prices in at a median of $505,792 with median rent of $2,219, producing a gross rent-to-price ratio of 0.527% monthly, or about 5.26% annualized. That sits meaningfully below the 7–8% gross yield threshold most cash-flow investors require, and the cap rate of 3.42% confirms what the rent ratio implies: this is not a market where the numbers pencil on day one. Running a standard underwrite at a $505,792 purchase price, 20% down, and 6.85% financing produces a monthly mortgage of $2,651. Add $777 in estimated expenses and $548 in monthly tax and insurance, and you're looking at negative $1,209 in monthly cash flow and a cash-on-cash return of negative 12.47%. The home price growth of 0.55% year-over-year is also modest, so you're not being compensated on the appreciation side either, at least not recently. The overall score of 54 out of 100 and a national percentile ranking of 36th reflect a market that sits firmly in the middle of the spectrum, closer to the appreciation-oriented end than to cash flow, but not excelling at either right now.
The investor profile this market serves is narrower than the headline numbers might suggest. A pure cash-flow buyer has no business here at current rates and prices; the negative $1,209 monthly shortfall on a standard leveraged deal is not a rounding error. An appreciation buyer can find a rationale given the county's high median household income of $116,009 and an affordability index of 65, which signals that residents can absorb rent increases over time, but 0.55% home price appreciation over the trailing year does not justify paying a $505,792 median entry price on the premise of near-term gains. The most defensible thesis is a hybrid: a well-capitalized buyer who can tolerate cash-flow drag, or a value-add operator acquiring below-median assets in the county's lower price tiers where rent-to-price ratios improve, running a disciplined renovation to push rents above the $2,219 median while waiting for the appreciation cycle to resume.
Anne Arundel County's economic anchors matter here. The county sits adjacent to Annapolis, the state capital, and is home to the U.S. Naval Academy, Fort Meade, and the associated defense and federal contracting ecosystem, including NSA headquarters. That concentration of federal employment and security-cleared contracting creates a tenant base with above-average income stability and lower sensitivity to private-sector hiring cycles. The median household income of $116,009 is well above national norms and supports the $2,219 median rent without obvious affordability strain. The risk of a sudden demand collapse is lower here than in markets dependent on a single private employer, but the flip side is that this same stability is already priced in, which explains why cap rates are compressed.
On carry costs, the Maryland state-average effective property tax rate of 1.09% is in normal territory and is not a material drag on the underwrite relative to other mid-Atlantic markets. The annual property tax estimate of $5,513 and annual insurance of $1,062 combine to $548 per month, which is already baked into the expense figures above. Worth noting: this is a state-average estimate and actual Anne Arundel county and municipal rates may differ, so confirm the specific parcel's tax bill before closing. The insurance rate of 0.21% annually is low, reflecting Maryland's limited catastrophic weather exposure, and that is a modest tailwind on the expense side.
The primary risk in Anne Arundel is concentration, specifically economic concentration in federal spending. Fort Meade and the NSA-linked contracting base represent a large share of the county's employment foundation. Any meaningful reduction in federal defense or intelligence budgets would ripple through rental demand more quickly here than the income figures alone suggest. Additionally, with a median home price above $505,000, the county sits in a price band where transaction volume can thin quickly during rate-driven slowdowns, limiting exit liquidity if you need to sell. Maryland also carries landlord-tenant regulations worth reviewing before entering; the state is not among the most landlord-friendly jurisdictions in the mid-Atlantic.
Against its neighbors, Anne Arundel is not the obvious first choice for an investor optimizing on yield. Prince George's County offers a meaningfully better rent-to-price ratio of 0.564% monthly against a median price of $422,458 and a comparable overall score of 55, making it the more logical entry point for a DC-area investor who needs the numbers to work on day one. Frederick County at $492,171 median and a 0.512% ratio is similarly priced to Anne Arundel but with slightly worse rent dynamics. Carroll County's ratio drops to 0.441%, the weakest of the group, despite a lower median price of $481,105. Anne Arundel makes the most sense over its neighbors when the investor's thesis centers on tenant quality and income stability rather than yield, specifically for furnished or executive rentals targeting the defense contractor and federal government workforce, where actual achievable rents may exceed the $2,219 median captured in broad data. If you're underwriting to median numbers and need positive cash flow, Prince George's is the more rational allocation.
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $379,344 | -$546/mo | 4.6% | -7.5% |
Median typical MLS deal | $505,792 | -$1,209/mo | 3.4% | -12.5% |
125% of median newer / premium | $632,240 | -$1,872/mo | 2.7% | -15.4% |
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Based on 5.26% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 0.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Price-to-income ratio of 4.4x. Lower ratios indicate more affordable markets.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Anne Arundel County in Maryland scores 54/100, ranking #482 of 1,000 US counties (top 64%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $1209/month; the 5.26% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.
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