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Market MapMarylandMontgomery

Montgomery County

MarylandPopulation: 1,056,910
37
/100
Avoid
#731 of 1,000 counties
#23 in Maryland (24 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated May 18, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$625,366
Median Home Price
168% above national median
$2,284/mo
Median Rent
51% above national median
4.38%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 87% nationally
-$1,793
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $2,284/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$469,025-$974/mo3.8%-10.8%
Median
typical MLS deal
$625,366-$1,793/mo2.9%-15.0%
125% of median
newer / premium
$781,708-$2,613/mo2.3%-17.4%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$625,366
Down Payment (20%)$125,073
Loan Amount$500,293
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$2,284
Monthly P&I-$3,278
Est. Expenses (35%)-$799
Net Cash Flow-$1,793/mo
2.9%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-15.0%
Cash-on-Cash Return
4.38%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 2.9% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
37/100
37
Cash Flow(30%)
36/100

Based on 4.38% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
42/100

Based on -1.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
15/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (4.38%)
  • -Declining home values (-1.5% YoY)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$1,793/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 2.9% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
1,056,910
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
  • −You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
CarrollMD
53$481,105$1,7674.41%HoldView
CarolineMD
53$320,470Est. pending—HoldView
GarrettMD
52$333,182Est. pending—HoldView
TalbotMD
49$481,463$2,3335.82%HoldView
HowardMD
49$617,631$2,2354.34%HoldView
CurrentMontgomeryMD
37$625,366$2,2844.38%Avoid

The Bottom Line

AvoidMontgomery may be challenging for traditional rentals. High prices or low rents make cash flow difficult.

Montgomery County in Maryland scores 37/100, ranking #731 of 1,000 US counties (top 97%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $1793/month; the 4.38% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,793/mo
Cap Rate
2.9%
Cash-on-Cash
-15.0%

Related markets

Markets like Montgomery with stronger cash flow

  • Talbot County for cash-flow rentals
  • Carroll County for cash-flow rentals
  • Howard County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Montgomery

  • Caroline County, lower entry price
  • Garrett County, lower entry price
  • Carroll County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Montgomery vs Talbot for rentals
  • Montgomery vs Howard for rentals
  • Montgomery vs Garrett for rentals
All counties in Maryland →

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