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Market MapNew MexicoChaves

Chaves County

New MexicoPopulation: 64,701
64
/100
Buy
#231 of 1,000 counties
#5 in New Mexico (30 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated May 11, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$170,648
Median Home Price
27% below national median
$1,249/mo
Median Rent
17% below national median
8.78%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 5% nationally
-$83
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,249/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$127,986+$141/mo7.6%+5.8%
Median
typical MLS deal
$170,648-$83/mo5.7%-2.5%
125% of median
newer / premium
$213,310-$306/mo4.6%-7.5%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$170,648
Down Payment (20%)$34,130
Loan Amount$136,518
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,249
Monthly P&I-$895
Est. Expenses (35%)-$437
Net Cash Flow-$83/mo
5.7%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-2.5%
Cash-on-Cash Return
8.78%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 5.7% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
64/100
64
Cash Flow(30%)
88/100

Based on 8.78% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
37/100

Based on -2.6% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
78/100

Price-to-income ratio of 3.4x. Lower ratios indicate more affordable markets.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (8.78%)
  • +Affordable relative to local incomes
  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Declining home values (-2.6% YoY)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 5.7% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
64,701
Median Income
$49,673
vs $57,059 national est.
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
3.4x
Moderately affordable

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +Value-add operators who can buy below median and force rent up
Skip if
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
RooseveltNM
66$141,276$9978.47%BuyView
San MiguelNM
65$257,118Est. pending—BuyView
CurrentChavesNM
64$170,648$1,2498.78%Buy
OteroNM
64$227,246$1,4897.87%BuyView
ValenciaNM
64$304,037$1,9297.62%BuyView
McKinleyNM
62$221,821Est. pending—BuyView

The Bottom Line

BuyChaves offers solid investment potential with positive cash flow at typical financing.

Chaves County in New Mexico scores 64/100, ranking #231 of 1,000 US counties (top 30%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow (8.78% gross rent-to-price ratio). The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-83/mo
Cap Rate
5.7%
Cash-on-Cash
-2.5%

Related markets

Markets like Chaves with stronger cash flow

  • Roosevelt County for cash-flow rentals
  • Otero County for cash-flow rentals
  • Valencia County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Chaves

  • Roosevelt County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Chaves vs Otero for rentals
  • Chaves vs Valencia for rentals
  • Chaves vs San Miguel for rentals
All counties in New Mexico →

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