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Market MapPennsylvaniaDauphin

Dauphin County

PennsylvaniaPopulation: 286,108Harrisburg, PA Metro
65
/100
Hold
#211 of 1,000 counties
#26 in Pennsylvania (67 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated May 18, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$277,454
Median Home Price
19% above national median
$1,406/mo
Median Rent
7% below national median
6.08%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 46% nationally
-$540
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,406/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$208,091-$176/mo5.3%-4.4%
Median
typical MLS deal
$277,454-$540/mo4.0%-10.2%
125% of median
newer / premium
$346,818-$904/mo3.2%-13.6%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$277,454
Down Payment (20%)$55,491
Loan Amount$221,963
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,406
Monthly P&I-$1,454
Est. Expenses (35%)-$492
Net Cash Flow-$540/mo
4.0%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-10.2%
Cash-on-Cash Return
6.08%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 4.0% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
65/100
65
Cash Flow(30%)
61/100

Based on 6.08% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
82/100

Based on 3.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
71/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Affordable relative to local incomes
  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$540/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
286,108
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
LawrencePA
67$152,781$1,0007.86%BuyView
SomersetPA
67$169,583$8826.24%BuyView
CurrentDauphinPA
65$277,454$1,4066.08%Buy
BerksPA
65$299,902$1,4965.98%BuyView
WashingtonPA
65$230,361$1,2696.61%BuyView
SnyderPA
64$226,158$1,1676.19%BuyView

The Bottom Line

HoldDauphin scores well overall, but a typical leveraged buy-and-hold loses $540/mo at current rates. Consider house hacking, value-add, or all-cash; otherwise a worse score with positive cash flow may be the better deal.

Dauphin County in Pennsylvania scores 65/100, ranking #211 of 1,000 US counties (top 28%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $540/month; the 6.08% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-540/mo
Cap Rate
4.0%
Cash-on-Cash
-10.2%

Related markets

Markets like Dauphin with stronger cash flow

  • Lawrence County for cash-flow rentals
  • Washington County for cash-flow rentals
  • Somerset County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Dauphin

  • Lawrence County, lower entry price
  • Somerset County, lower entry price
  • Snyder County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Dauphin vs Berks for rentals
  • Dauphin vs Washington for rentals
  • Dauphin vs Snyder for rentals
All counties in Pennsylvania →

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