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Market MapSouth DakotaLawrence

Lawrence County

South DakotaPopulation: 26,047
41
/100
Avoid
#703 of 1,000 counties
#46 in South Dakota (50 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated January 1, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$438,033
Median Home Price
87% above national median
$1,593/mo
Median Rent
6% above national median
4.36%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 88% nationally
-$1,261
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,593/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$328,524-$687/mo3.8%-10.9%
Median
typical MLS deal
$438,033-$1,261/mo2.8%-15.0%
125% of median
newer / premium
$547,541-$1,835/mo2.3%-17.5%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$438,033
Down Payment (20%)$87,607
Loan Amount$350,426
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,593
Monthly P&I-$2,296
Est. Expenses (35%)-$558
Net Cash Flow-$1,261/mo
2.8%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-15.0%
Cash-on-Cash Return
4.36%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 2.8% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
41/100
41
Cash Flow(30%)
35/100

Based on 4.36% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
48/100

Based on -0.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
30/100

Price-to-income ratio of 7.0x. Lower ratios indicate more affordable markets.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (4.36%)
  • -Declining home values (-0.3% YoY)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$1,261/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 2.8% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
26,047
Median Income
$62,977
vs $57,059 national est.
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
7.0x
Less affordable

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
  • −You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
SullySD
48$259,224Est. pending—HoldView
ButteSD
46$352,137Est. pending—HoldView
CampbellSD
46$190,297Est. pending—HoldView
SanbornSD
43$226,489Est. pending—AvoidView
CurrentLawrenceSD
41$438,033$1,5934.36%Avoid
BennettSD
38$199,769Est. pending—AvoidView

The Bottom Line

AvoidLawrence may be challenging for traditional rentals. High prices or low rents make cash flow difficult.

Lawrence County in South Dakota scores 41/100, ranking #703 of 1,000 US counties (top 93%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $1261/month; the 4.36% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,261/mo
Cap Rate
2.8%
Cash-on-Cash
-15.0%

Related markets

Cheaper alternatives to Lawrence

  • Campbell County, lower entry price
  • Bennett County, lower entry price
  • Sanborn County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Lawrence vs Sanborn for rentals
  • Lawrence vs Bennett for rentals
  • Lawrence vs Butte for rentals
All counties in South Dakota →

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