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Market MapVirginiaLancaster

Lancaster County

VirginiaPopulation: 10,866
59
/100
Hold
#360 of 1,000 counties
#62 in Virginia (133 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated January 1, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$379,020
Median Home Price
62% above national median
$22,506/mo
Est. Rent
Based on regional data
5.94%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Estimated from price data
+$0
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
59/100
59
Cash Flow(30%)
0/100

Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.

Appreciation(25%)
80/100

Based on 3.1% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
40/100

Price-to-income ratio of 6.0x. Lower ratios indicate more affordable markets.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

No significant strengths identified based on current data.

Challenges

  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
  • -Limited rent data (estimates used)

Economic Indicators

Population
10,866
Median Income
$62,674
vs $57,059 national est.
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
6.0x
Less affordable

Who this market fits

Skip if
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
CurrentLancasterVA
59$379,020Est. pending—Hold
Portsmouth CityVA
59$255,109$1,5817.44%HoldView
FrederickVA
59$419,936$2,1036.01%HoldView
Virginia Beach CityVA
59$411,608$1,9995.83%HoldView
NelsonVA
58$348,365Est. pending—HoldView
Winchester CityVA
58$354,986$1,6565.60%HoldView

The Bottom Line

HoldLancaster is a neutral market.

Lancaster County in Virginia scores 59/100, ranking #360 of 1,000 US counties (top 48%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.

Monthly Cash Flow
+$0/mo
Cap Rate
0.0%
Cash-on-Cash
0.0%

Related markets

Markets like Lancaster with stronger cash flow

  • Portsmouth City for cash-flow rentals
  • Frederick County for cash-flow rentals
  • Virginia Beach City for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Lancaster

  • Portsmouth City, lower entry price
  • Nelson County, lower entry price
  • Winchester City, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Lancaster vs Portsmouth City for rentals
  • Lancaster vs Frederick for rentals
  • Lancaster vs Virginia Beach City for rentals
All counties in Virginia →

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