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Market MapFloridaSumter

Sumter County

FloridaPopulation: 131,832
48
/100
Hold
#590 of 1,000 counties
#34 in Florida (67 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated May 18, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$388,108
Median Home Price
66% above national median
$1,749/mo
Median Rent
16% above national median
5.41%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 62% nationally
-$898
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,749/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$291,081-$389/mo4.7%-7.0%
Median
typical MLS deal
$388,108-$898/mo3.5%-12.1%
125% of median
newer / premium
$485,135-$1,406/mo2.8%-15.1%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$388,108
Down Payment (20%)$77,622
Loan Amount$310,486
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,749
Monthly P&I-$2,034
Est. Expenses (35%)-$612
Net Cash Flow-$898/mo
3.5%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-12.1%
Cash-on-Cash Return
5.41%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 3.5% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
48/100
48
Cash Flow(30%)
51/100

Based on 5.41% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
45/100

Based on -1.1% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
47/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Declining home values (-1.1% YoY)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$898/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.5% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
131,832
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
HamiltonFL
49$195,992Est. pending—HoldView
HillsboroughFL
49$373,642$2,0096.45%HoldView
CurrentSumterFL
48$388,108$1,7495.41%Hold
PascoFL
48$328,129$2,0007.31%HoldView
Indian RiverFL
48$359,133$2,2527.52%HoldView
OrangeFL
47$397,718$1,9465.87%HoldView

The Bottom Line

HoldSumter is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Sumter County in Florida scores 48/100, ranking #590 of 1,000 US counties (top 78%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $898/month; the 5.41% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-898/mo
Cap Rate
3.5%
Cash-on-Cash
-12.1%

Related markets

Markets like Sumter with stronger cash flow

  • Indian River County for cash-flow rentals
  • Pasco County for cash-flow rentals
  • Hillsborough County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Sumter

  • Hamilton County, lower entry price
  • Pasco County, lower entry price
  • Indian River County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Sumter vs Pasco for rentals
  • Sumter vs Indian River for rentals
  • Sumter vs Hamilton for rentals
All counties in Florida →

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