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Market MapNew YorkOrange

Orange County

New YorkPopulation: 401,237
57
/100
Hold
#0 of 0 counties
#35 in New York (62 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated May 18, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$457,335
Median Home Price
0% below national median
$2,213/mo
Median Rent
0% below national median
5.81%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 50% nationally
-$959
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $2,213/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$343,002-$360/mo5.0%-5.5%
Median
typical MLS deal
$457,335-$959/mo3.8%-10.9%
125% of median
newer / premium
$571,669-$1,559/mo3.0%-14.2%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$457,335
Down Payment (20%)$91,467
Loan Amount$365,868
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$2,213
Monthly P&I-$2,397
Est. Expenses (35%)-$775
Net Cash Flow-$959/mo
3.8%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-10.9%
Cash-on-Cash Return
5.81%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 3.8% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
57/100
57
Cash Flow(30%)
57/100

Based on 5.81% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
82/100

Based on 3.6% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
35/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$959/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.8% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
  • -High price-to-income ratio makes financing challenging

Economic Indicators

Population
401,237
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
WyomingNY
59$197,819Est. pending—HoldView
SaratogaNY
58$441,120$1,7554.77%HoldView
CurrentOrangeNY
57$457,335$2,2135.81%Hold
BronxNY
56$486,304$2,7676.83%HoldView
NassauNY
56$807,855$3,5215.23%HoldView
UlsterNY
56$428,572$2,1195.93%HoldView

The Bottom Line

HoldOrange is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Orange County in New York scores 57/100, ranking #0 of 0 US counties (top 50%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $959/month; the 5.81% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-959/mo
Cap Rate
3.8%
Cash-on-Cash
-10.9%

Related markets

Markets like Orange with stronger cash flow

  • Bronx County for cash-flow rentals
  • Ulster County for cash-flow rentals
  • Nassau County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Orange

  • Wyoming County, lower entry price
  • Ulster County, lower entry price
  • Saratoga County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Orange vs Bronx for rentals
  • Orange vs Nassau for rentals
  • Orange vs Saratoga for rentals
All counties in New York →

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