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Market MapArizonaPinal

Pinal County

ArizonaPopulation: 433,338
50
/100
Hold
#0 of 0 counties
#5 in Arizona (15 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated May 18, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$365,104
Median Home Price
0% below national median
$1,850/mo
Median Rent
0% below national median
6.08%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 50% nationally
-$712
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,850/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$273,828-$233/mo5.3%-4.4%
Median
typical MLS deal
$365,104-$712/mo4.0%-10.2%
125% of median
newer / premium
$456,380-$1,190/mo3.2%-13.6%

Price History

Historical data not yet available for Pinal County.

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$365,104
Down Payment (20%)$73,021
Loan Amount$292,083
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,850
Monthly P&I-$1,914
Est. Expenses (35%)-$648
Net Cash Flow-$712/mo
4.0%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-10.2%
Cash-on-Cash Return
6.08%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 4.0% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
50/100
50
Cash Flow(30%)
61/100

Based on 6.08% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
37/100

Based on -2.6% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
52/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Declining home values (-2.6% YoY)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$712/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
433,338
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
La PazAZ
55$264,493Est. pending—HoldView
CurrentPinalAZ
50$365,104$1,8506.08%Hold
NavajoAZ
49$389,192$1,9586.04%HoldView
MohaveAZ
47$344,368$1,5735.48%HoldView
PimaAZ
46$339,306$1,5105.34%HoldView
GreenleeAZ
44$156,689Est. pending—AvoidView

The Bottom Line

HoldPinal is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Pinal County in Arizona scores 50/100, ranking #0 of 0 US counties (top 50%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $712/month; the 6.08% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-712/mo
Cap Rate
4.0%
Cash-on-Cash
-10.2%

Related markets

Markets like Pinal with stronger cash flow

  • Navajo County for cash-flow rentals
  • Mohave County for cash-flow rentals
  • Pima County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Pinal

  • Greenlee County, lower entry price
  • La Paz County, lower entry price
  • Pima County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Pinal vs Navajo for rentals
  • Pinal vs Mohave for rentals
  • Pinal vs Pima for rentals
All counties in Arizona →

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